Far from depressing the property market, the changes to super might just spur it along.
Already real estate is picking up in Brisbane, Melbourne and even in the inner city and top end parts of Sydney, a victim of past excesses, and also a growth in mortgage loans.
As far as I can gather, DIY super funds were being topped up as much by flicking share portfolios as flogging investment properties. In any case, if the super changes really were a problem for property, they won't be after Saturday.
The question is no longer when property prices will recover but how high they'll go. That alos applies for mortgages.
Is this the start of a new boom? Not if you believe economists. But I'm not so sure. Perhaps they need to look at the recent speech by the governor of the Reserve Bank, Glenn Stevens. You would have heard all about his hint of an interest rate rise in a few months, but it was his comment about the property market that was the real eye-opener.
He said: "The number of dwellings being built looks to be below what is normally thought to be underlying demand arising from population growth and household formation."
In Reservespeak, they're fighting words. He's saying there's a shortage of housing and developers should get on with it.
Demand is outstripping supply because of soaring wages, job growth and a pick-up in immigration.
Stevens went on to explain how difficult this shortage of housing will be to fix because the economy is running at full capacity: labour and materials to build houses will have to come from mining or infrastructure.
The point is for that to happen, construction costs would soar, which can only boost the value of existing properties.
Meanwhile, rents are rising because vacancy rates are the lowest in a lifetime, and the sharemarket is distinctly pricey, so all those cashed-up DIY super funds would have to be running the ruler over real estate.
Source: Sydney Morning Herald
