Credit is off the boil in credit cards to business investment

AUstralian consumers and businesses are reducing their debts for the first time since the last recession, but questions are being raised about whether it is voluntary or enforced by lenders imposing stricter conditions.
Figures collected by the Reserve Bank show the amount of credit outstanding to businesses and consumers fell 0.3per cent in December to just over $1.9trillion - the first monthly fall since 1992 - slowing what was expected to be a steady rise to $2trillion. Outstanding debt has roughly doubled in the past six years.
Corporations are leading the retreat, with demand for finance for new projects drying up and lenders become more cautious about who they lend to. Outstanding loans to business shrank 1.1 per cent in December, reducing the annual growth rate to 8 per cent, down from 24per cent the year before. The Reserve Bank said some of the decrease "reflected a fall in foreign currency-denominated lending".
Other figures released yesterday by the banking watchdog, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, and analysed by CommSec showed banks with foreign parent companies such as HSBC, Barclays and ING reduced loans and advances to Australian firms and households in December. All of the big Australian banks, excluding NAB, increased theirs.
The chief economist at Morgan Stanley, Gerard Minack, said the figures showed the credit crunch was beginning to be felt domestically. "More to the point, it will likely get significantly worse. Reduced credit flows is part of the reason I expect a severe recession in Australia.
In particular, tight credit points to a major fall in business investment over the next 18 months."
The credit figures are another sign of a slowing economy, which is expected to convince the Reserve to opt for a 1percentage point interest rate cut at its first meeting of the year next Tuesday.
Meanwhile, housing debt - which accounts for nearly half of all outstanding debt, or nearly $1trillion - continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace than a year ago. The annual growth rate of 7.6per cent was the slowest recorded in more than 25 years.
It shows that while lower interest rates and the first-home-buyers' grant boost may be supporting demand, existing borrowers are seeking to repay debts at a faster rate.
A Commonwealth Bank economist said it was a bad sign for house prices. "This much lower volume of funds trickling into the housing market means that sales volumes will remain anaemic."

Citigroup Sells Crowns Jewels and sheds workers after Subprime fallout

The once mighty Citigroup hopes to sell a majority stake in Smith Barney, the brokerage firm, to Morgan Stanley in a deal that would create the world's biggest wealth manager.
The negotiations came to light as Robert Rubin, the former US Treasury Secretary, resigned as senior counsellor and director of Citigroup after months of criticism for his role in leading what was once the world’s largest bank to the brink of collapse.
Under the deal being discussed by Morgan Stanley and Citigroup, 51 per cent of Smith Barney will be sold to Morgan Stanley with an option to buy the rest of the business within five years.
Morgan Stanley declined to comment on the talks and Citigroup did not respond to requests for comment.
It was not clear how much the deal would cost Morgan Stanley.
The banks are expected to work through the weekend to finalise the terms of the deal. The merger would help Morgan Stanley, which converted to a bank holding company last year and subsequently received $US10 billion ($14 billion) in Government aid, to diversify.
Citigroup, which has taken $US45 billion in government funding, is likely to welcome the additional capital that the deal would provide. The move is also in line with the strategy of Vikram Pandit, the Citigroup chief executive, to downsize the business after the sub-prime debacle. Citigroup is dismissing 52,000 of its workers after it made $US20 billion in credit-related losses.
The bank also announced the resignation of Mr Rubin, who was Treasury Secretary from 1995 to 1999. In a letter to Mr Pandit, Mr Rubin said:

My great regret is that I and so many of us who have been involved in this
industry for so long did not recognise the serious possibility of the extreme
circumstances that the financial system faces today.

Mr Rubin, who joined Citigroup in 1999, has been excoriated in the media as the force behind the bank’s decision to chase profits by pushing into risky credit-related products. His duties at the bank, other than using his network to attract clients, were not clear, but insiders said that his influence was pervasive.
In his time at Citigroup, Mr Rubin collected about $US150 million in remuneration.
Before becoming Treasury Secretary, Mr Rubin, who is a graduate of Harvard and Yale Law School, had a long career at Goldman Sachs, where he started on the arbitrage trading desk and worked his way up to become co-chairman of the elite bank.
Shares in Citigroup closed in New York at $US6.75, down by 5.7 per cent.