Queensland real estate market changed personality last month, as buying a home becomes a more frightening issue for many Queenslanders.
That has led to an almost 21 per cent slump in the number of mortgages issued by Australian Finance Group, which holds about 13 per cent of the market.
It was the biggest slump so far recorded by AFG at a time when the market should be picking up.
Property analyst Michael Matusik now believes investors are the cause but he also believes share houses are about to get a lot more cramped as rents rise and people look to reduce the financial burden by bringing in boarders.
But he also thinks the capital gains of 15 per cent a year in some parts of Brisbane are at an end with probably half that expected for the present year.
Rising interest rates combined with the fallout from the US housing market and bad credit is creating nervousness, and with affordability already at historic lows it doesn't take much to change minds.
"We will see stop-start growth over the next 12 to 18 months as the world tries to figure out how it's going to cope with credit," Mr Matusik said.
He said investors were now finding it tough to get loans for 100 per cent or more of a property's value and that could mean dipping into their own pockets for things like stamp duty. Statistics also showed that many rental homes had one or more spare bedrooms and that was going to end.
"In the next 12 months renters will be forced to share. Spare rooms will disappear and then we will see another kick in the housing market," he said.
AFG's Mark Hewitt said fixed loans had also increased from 18 per cent in August to 20 per cent last month. He said last month's decline in mortgage sales was about double the normal September slump as concerns persisted over the global debt markets and the US subprime difficulties.
"On the positive side, we believe that the underlying market is very strong and these figures represent a blip rather than a change in direction," he said.
He added that this month had shown early indications of a small recovery.
In Queensland the average mortgage has gone up by 12 per cent in the past nine months to $318,000.Source: Courier Mail
