Mr Mortgage has been saying for months that interest rates should not rise till after the new year when the World Economy has played out [amongst many other reasons]. This last fewweeks everyone and his dog has been saying rates will rise in October. We have been asking why should rates rise at all this year?
Countless other so-called experts, as reported in all the media, have been saying a rise is on for October. Many Bank economists have switched to the October rate rise will happen theory.
With the financial markets now betting on a mortgage rise, and all the big banks trying to talk up a rate rise because they will make a killing on the currency markets, the pressure is on the RBA. When rates do rise the Big banks can then slip in their own mortgage rate rises on top of the RBA's and hope their customers don't notice. But there are too many families in Australia that will suffer mortgage stress if rates do Increase.
The major banks are using mortgage interest rates as milking cows for record profits.
The RBA board is meeting next Tuesday and was widely tipped to increase rates from the current 4.5 per cent to 4.75%.
But as many people know, the Reserve Bank of Australia's Governor and Board likes to foil currency gamblers who try to second guess Board decisions. The RBAwins when currency traders lose.
In any case a resulting higher dollar is bad for Australia in many ways, as it hurts exporters, farmers and tourism in Australia.
Expect to see the dollar crash in value in the coming days, as the bets on an interest rate rise are switched.
Author: Mr Mortgage
Countless other so-called experts, as reported in all the media, have been saying a rise is on for October. Many Bank economists have switched to the October rate rise will happen theory.
With the financial markets now betting on a mortgage rise, and all the big banks trying to talk up a rate rise because they will make a killing on the currency markets, the pressure is on the RBA. When rates do rise the Big banks can then slip in their own mortgage rate rises on top of the RBA's and hope their customers don't notice. But there are too many families in Australia that will suffer mortgage stress if rates do Increase.
The major banks are using mortgage interest rates as milking cows for record profits.
This is the biggest beat up I have seen since the Iraq War WMD.
Why the RBA will leave official rates on hold.
- European Debt crisis should hold off interest rates raises till into next year.
- The RBA enjoy second guessing the financial markets who seek to profit on their decisions. They are Independent and like to remind the markets of this.
The IMF agrees with Mr Mortgage on the absence of reason to raise rates.
Well the IMF now agrees with Mr Mortgage, and says a bust may be closer than anyone expects, with a risk that the sovereign debt crisis in Europe may again throw world financial markets into turmoil. This is the second recession that many having been saying could happen. In other words, the US recovery is a "dead cat bounce".Where is the job growth, the housing market recovery, and the shoppers in the US picture? Was the US stimulus too small to work? And will the US Fed go negative with Interest rates? And if they do will the $AU dollar be overpriced?IMF advises RBA to hold off on lifting Mortgage rates
The IMF advised the Reserve Bank of Australia to hold off lifting interest rates. "The Reserve Bank has scope to wait for the outlook to become clearer," the fund said. There is no impending disaster to happen if it leaves rates as is.The RBA board is meeting next Tuesday and was widely tipped to increase rates from the current 4.5 per cent to 4.75%.
But as many people know, the Reserve Bank of Australia's Governor and Board likes to foil currency gamblers who try to second guess Board decisions. The RBAwins when currency traders lose.
In any case a resulting higher dollar is bad for Australia in many ways, as it hurts exporters, farmers and tourism in Australia.
Expect to see the dollar crash in value in the coming days, as the bets on an interest rate rise are switched.
Author: Mr Mortgage
