National Australia Bank has delivered bad tidings to its home loan customers, saying they can expect to start paying for the global credit crunch before Christmas.
The bad news for [mortgagors] overshadowed the good news for NAB shareholders who showed renewed enthusiasm for the bank, Australia's second biggest, which posted a 4.2 per cent rise in net profit to $4.6 billion.
The result was built on solid revenue growth of 8.3 per cent to $14.6 billion that dwarfed cost increases of 0.9 per cent to $7.4 billion.
But there were was no joy for homeowners when bank boss John Stewart delivered the news that yet another rate rise was likely before the end of the year.
NAB on Thursday was the first of the big four lenders to hike its variable home loan rate by 25-basis points - in line with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) increasing its official cash rate to 6.75 per cent this week.
Mr Stewart warned his bank's willingness to absorb the higher cost of funding that followed the fallout from the US sub-prime crisis was fast coming to an end.
"There's a lot more bad news continuing to come out of the (United) States that (is) affecting credit markets," Mr Stewart told reporters.
He said NAB would wait a little longer for the increased cost of its own borrowings to "settle". The increase could potentially be as much as 20-basis points and would be in addition to Thursday's 25-basis point rise.
Mr Stewart said the additional increase would be passed on to customers within a "month or two".
"When that's clearer, then we can do that and I think it will happen and hopefully we can clearly articulate why it has to happen."
Householders should be ready to tighten their belts even further next year, with Mr Stewart predicting the RBA may decide on another rate rise to rein in an overheated economy.
"I think there will be at least one more (rate rise) and it think it will be in the autumn," he said.
The series of rate rises were likely to dent revenue growth in housing lending, but the bank was not concerned about a blowout in bad debt.
In fiscal 2007 the NAB's provisions for bad debts shrank to $1.36 billion, a 16 per cent decrease on the previous year's provisions of $1.62 billion.
As well, the bank expects the strong economy to encourage business to invest more, fuelling growth in its business lending by between 15 to 18 per cent - although the level may retreat from historic highs.
"That's good news for us because we're the dominant business bank in Australia," Mr Stewart said.
The bank plans to grow revenue at better than banking system rates in key areas, with organic growth remaining its preferred option although acquisitions would be considered.
Annual operating expense growth is forecast to remain within inflation as far as 2010.
Even so, there were some disagreeable numbers buried in the balance sheet, including the bank's group net interest margin, a key measure of its profitability, which slipped five basis points to 2.29 per cent.
While the Australian net interest margin was steady in 2007, net margins on NAB's British business tumbled by 48-basis points.
That prompted questions from analysts on whether the bank could get better returns on its capital elsewhere.
"Our inclination, and we have debated this a lot, is you stay with it - but nothing is forever," Mr Stewart said.
HTM Wilson bank analyst Brett Le Mesurier said NAB's revenue growth was the lowest among the big four banks, due partly to slow growth in its British assets.
He said that was offset by the limited growth in expenses.
"If they can continue doing that, then they will be the best-performing bank.
"But they (NAB) tried to do that before when (former chief executive Frank) Cicutto was running it and they came to grief."
NAB's cash earnings rose by 17.7 per cent to a record $4.4 billion, with total lending increasing 13.8 per cent to $394.7 billion, while the value of customer deposits rose 15.2 per cent to $268.4 billion.
In Australia, cash earnings totalled $2.87 billion, a gain of 22.8 per cent following strong growth in the banking and MLC businesses.
The nabCapital arm enjoyed cash earnings growth of 16.6 per cent to $715 million.
For the UK, cash earnings rose by 14.3 per cent to $592 million, despite turbulent market conditions.
NAB's cash earnings per share (EPS) was 268.5 cents in the year, up 16.4 per cent.
The bank declared a final dividend of 95 cents, up eight cents, taking the annual total to $1.82.
At 1514 AEDT NAB shares had risen $1.27 to $43.45.
Source: AAP
