Friday, October 13, 2006

Queensland bank, investment and insurance group Suncorp-Metway looks set to secure one of the largest takeovers in Australian corporate history with its $7.9 billion bid for general insurer Promina Group.
The board of Promina - which owns brands such as AAMI and Australia's Pensioners Insurance Agency - has said it is "favourably disposed" to the conditional offer.
The Brisbane, Queensland based bank, insurance and wealth management group has offered 0.2618 of its shares and $1.80 cash per Promina share, valuing Promina at $7.87 billion.
The news pushed Promina shares into new record territory, with the stock jumping almost 19 per cent to an intraday high of $7.70. The shares were up 66 cents at $7.14 at 1534 AEST.
Suncorp gained 90 cents or 4 per cent to $23.20 by that time.
If approved, it will be the largest takeover in the financial services sector since the Commonwealth Bank's $9.1 billion purchase of Colonial Ltd in 2000.
Outside of that sector, the size of the deal compares with BHP Billiton's $9.2 billion buyout of WMC Resources in 2005.
Both insurers remained tight-lipped about the deal today short of issuing statements confirming the bid, after market speculation about a possible takeover pushed Promina shares more than 6 per cent higher yesterday.
Suncorp has said the merger gives it an expanded national presence, improved geographic diversity and a significant boost to its presence in the wealth management and life insurance markets.
"The proposal is in line with its strategy to pursue value accretive acquisitions which meet its investment criteria, create value for shareholders and enhance earnings per share," Suncorp has said.
The offer brings a sense of confirmation to months of speculation about a round of consolidation among Australia's top four insurers.
However, Suncorp itself was considered one of the more likely takeover targets.
With Promina eager to move ahead with the merger, the companies are progressing with due diligence and negotiations for a formal merger agreement.
But approval from Australian and New Zealand regulators could still remain potential barriers to the acquisition.
CommSec analyst Carlos Castillo has said there are unlikely to be many rival bids emerging from the woodwork with competition constraints likely to keep most players at bay.
"This has been something that's been in the pipeline for quite a while," he said.
"It's (the market) obviously not factoring anyone else coming in and making a bigger offer and trumping Suncorp.
"I think that's pretty unlikely because Suncorp is the one that can extract the most synergies out of an acquisition of Promina.
"Any other potential bidders, if they want to pay more, then they're really going to be doing so for strategic reasons not because they feel they can get more value out of the acquisition than Suncorp."
The move will have ramifications for the broader financial sector with Insurance Australia Group (IAG) - Australia's second largest insurer by earned premium behind QBE - standing to benefit from the transaction.
"If this takeover goes ahead then it's hard to see anyone being able to buy IAG without further competition concerns being raised unless they're an offshore person who has no participation in the market at the moment," Mr Castillo said.
Deutsche Bank analyst James Coghill has said the disruption a merger is likely to cause Promina and Suncorp would improve IAG's attractiveness in the medium-term.
"In terms of alternative bids, we see limited scope given competition constraints for IAG, and lower synergy potential from QBE, Wesfarmers and Allianz," Mr Coghill said.
"Furthermore, both QBE and Allianz have the ability to acquire offshore at more attractive multiples."
Bank of Queensland managing director David Liddy has said the merger is good news for his bank.
"It's a positive from our point of view, we stick to the view that we are a bank and what we are trying to do is get more Bank of Queensland customers in Queensland," he said.
Mr Liddy has said the regional bank performed well after Suncorp's $1.26 billion acquisition of general insurance business GIO from AMP in 2001.
Source: AAP